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Research

MTA 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
2,874 MTA 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-22 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme143 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical124 times
↑37.9%
↓62.1%
Bull Bias196 times
↑38.8%
↓61.2%
Neutral187 times
↑56.1%
↓43.9%
Bear Bias212 times
↑57.5%
↓42.5%
Bear Critical127 times
↑55.9%
↓44.1%
Bear Extreme★★166 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bear Extreme→Sellers→

MTA — Bear Extreme — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 166 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 166 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

Current market energy at -78.94%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 4.44 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 21.06 points

MTA — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 127 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 71 times — 55.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 56 times — 44.1%

MTA — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 212 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 122 times — 57.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 90 times — 42.5%

MTA — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 187 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 105 times — 56.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 82 times — 43.9%

MTA — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 196 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 76 times — 38.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 120 times — 61.2%

MTA — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 124 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 47 times — 37.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 77 times — 62.1%

MTA — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 143 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 143 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of MTA?

Historically, when MTA was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 166 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -78.94%, 4.44 points from the upper bound and 21.06 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 2,874 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing MTA's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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