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Research

MSH 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
4,021 MSH 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-23 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme★176 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical199 times
↑32.7%
↓67.3%
Bull Bias★290 times
↑34.1%
↓65.9%
Neutral299 times
↑47.5%
↓52.5%
Bear Bias281 times
↑56.6%
↓43.4%
Bear Critical183 times
↑66.7%
↓33.3%
Bear Extreme160 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bull Extreme→Buyers→

MSH — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 160 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 160 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

MSH — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 183 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 122 times — 66.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 61 times — 33.3%

MSH — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 281 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 159 times — 56.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 122 times — 43.4%

MSH — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 299 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 142 times — 47.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 157 times — 52.5%

MSH — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 290 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 99 times — 34.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 191 times — 65.9%

MSH — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 199 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 65 times — 32.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 134 times — 67.3%

MSH — Bull Extreme — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 176 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 176 times — 100%

Current market energy at 95.35%
Distance to peak 100%: 4.65 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 20.85 points
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of MSH?

Historically, when MSH was in the Bull Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 0% of the time and down to a lower zone 100% of the time (across 176 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%. The market is at 95.35%, 4.65 points from the upper bound and 20.85 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 4,021 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-23, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing MSH's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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