Research

MPT 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
650 MPT 1H candles
Period
2023-08-04 – 2026-10-16 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

MPT — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 23 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 23 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

MPT — Bear Critical — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 26 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 19 times — 73.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 7 times — 26.9%

Current market energy at -74.17%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 14.17 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 0.33 points

MPT — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 43 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 29 times — 67.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 14 times — 32.6%

MPT — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 46 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 29 times — 63%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 17 times — 37%

MPT — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 50 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 19 times — 38%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 31 times — 62%

MPT — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 32 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 15 times — 46.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 17 times — 53.1%

MPT — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 32 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 32 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of MPT?

Historically, when MPT was in the Bear Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 73.1% of the time and down to a lower zone 26.9% of the time (across 26 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%. The market is at -74.17%, 14.17 points from the upper bound and 0.33 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 650 candles from 2023-08-04 to 2026-10-16, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing MPT's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .