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Research

MDC 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
2,396 MDC 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-22 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme139 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical101 times
↑47.5%
↓52.5%
Bull Bias★★155 times
↑40%
↓60%
Neutral145 times
↑55.9%
↓44.1%
Bear Bias137 times
↑58.4%
↓41.6%
Bear Critical78 times
↑56.4%
↓43.6%
Bear Extreme125 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bull Bias→Buyers→

MDC — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 125 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 125 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

MDC — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 78 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 44 times — 56.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 34 times — 43.6%

MDC — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 137 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 80 times — 58.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 57 times — 41.6%

MDC — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 145 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 81 times — 55.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 64 times — 44.1%

MDC — Bull Bias — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 155 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 62 times — 40%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 93 times — 60%

Current market energy at 46.65%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 13.35 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 25.77 points

MDC — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 101 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 48 times — 47.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 53 times — 52.5%

MDC — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 139 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 139 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of MDC?

Historically, when MDC was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 40% of the time and down to a lower zone 60% of the time (across 155 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 46.65%, 13.35 points from the upper bound and 25.77 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 2,396 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing MDC's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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