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Research

MCP W: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
740 MCP W candles
Period
2012-03-26 – 2026-10-12 (14.5 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
D1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme★40 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical49 times
↑22.4%
↓77.6%
Bull Bias71 times
↑50.7%
↓49.3%
Neutral★53 times
↑64.2%
↓35.8%
Bear Bias32 times
↑75%
↓25%
Bear Critical20 times
↑65%
↓35%
Bear Extreme21 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bull Extreme→Buyers→

MCP — Bear Extreme — W

Occurrences: 21 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 21 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

MCP — Bear Critical — W

Occurrences: 20 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 13 times — 65%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 7 times — 35%

MCP — Bear Bias — W

Occurrences: 32 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 24 times — 75%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 8 times — 25%

MCP — Neutral — W

Occurrences: 53 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 34 times — 64.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 19 times — 35.8%

MCP — Bull Bias — W

Occurrences: 71 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 36 times — 50.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 35 times — 49.3%

MCP — Bull Critical — W

Occurrences: 49 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 11 times — 22.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 38 times — 77.6%

MCP — Bull Extreme — W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 40 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 40 times — 100%

Current market energy at 92.9%
Distance to peak 100%: 7.1 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 18.4 points
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of MCP?

Historically, when MCP was in the Bull Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 0% of the time and down to a lower zone 100% of the time (across 40 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%. The market is at 92.9%, 7.1 points from the upper bound and 18.4 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 740 candles from 2012-03-26 to 2026-10-12, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing MCP's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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