Research

MCF D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,492 MCF D candles
Period
2012-03-21 – 2026-10-22 (14.6 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

MCF — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 111 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 111 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

MCF — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 79 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 62 times — 78.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 17 times — 21.5%

MCF — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 138 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 89 times — 64.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 49 times — 35.5%

MCF — Neutral — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 162 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 105 times — 64.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 57 times — 35.2%

Current market energy at -19.84%
Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 40.72 points
Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 1.04 points

MCF — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 208 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 117 times — 56.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 91 times — 43.8%

MCF — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 142 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 69 times — 48.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 73 times — 51.4%

MCF — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 193 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 193 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of MCF?

Historically, when MCF was in the Neutral zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 64.8% of the time and down to a lower zone 35.2% of the time (across 162 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%. The market is at -19.84%, 40.72 points from the upper bound and 1.04 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,492 candles from 2012-03-21 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing MCF's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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