Research

MAC D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,545 MAC D candles
Period
2012-03-21 – 2026-10-23 (14.6 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

MAC — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 78 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 78 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

MAC — Bear Critical — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 86 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 63 times — 73.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 23 times — 26.7%

Current market energy at -65.95%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 5.95 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 8.55 points

MAC — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 179 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 128 times — 71.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 51 times — 28.5%

MAC — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 238 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 125 times — 52.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 113 times — 47.5%

MAC — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 254 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 123 times — 48.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 131 times — 51.6%

MAC — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 187 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 87 times — 46.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 100 times — 53.5%

MAC — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 201 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 201 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of MAC?

Historically, when MAC was in the Bear Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 73.3% of the time and down to a lower zone 26.7% of the time (across 86 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%. The market is at -65.95%, 5.95 points from the upper bound and 8.55 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,545 candles from 2012-03-21 to 2026-10-23, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing MAC's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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