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Research

IPA 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,922 IPA 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-23 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme182 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical208 times
↑25.5%
↓74.5%
Bull Bias308 times
↑43.5%
↓56.5%
Neutral★★287 times
↑48.1%
↓51.9%
Bear Bias288 times
↑61.5%
↓38.5%
Bear Critical162 times
↑71%
↓29%
Bear Extreme148 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Neutral→

IPA — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 148 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 148 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

IPA — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 162 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 115 times — 71%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 47 times — 29%

IPA — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 288 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 177 times — 61.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 111 times — 38.5%

IPA — Neutral — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 287 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 138 times — 48.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 149 times — 51.9%

Current market energy at -17.56%
Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 38.44 points
Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 3.32 points

IPA — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 308 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 134 times — 43.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 174 times — 56.5%

IPA — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 208 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 53 times — 25.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 155 times — 74.5%

IPA — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 182 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 182 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of IPA?

Historically, when IPA was in the Neutral zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 48.1% of the time and down to a lower zone 51.9% of the time (across 287 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%. The market is at -17.56%, 38.44 points from the upper bound and 3.32 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,922 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-23, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing IPA's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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