Research

HVA D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
2,645 HVA D candles
Period
2015-07-31 – 2026-10-16 (11.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

HVA — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 79 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 79 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

HVA — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 76 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 57 times — 75%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 19 times — 25%

HVA — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 130 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 77 times — 59.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 53 times — 40.8%

HVA — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 140 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 75 times — 53.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 65 times — 46.4%

HVA — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 174 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 85 times — 48.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 89 times — 51.1%

HVA — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 126 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 43 times — 34.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 83 times — 65.9%

HVA — Bull Extreme — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 120 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 120 times — 100%

Current market energy at 75.81%
Distance to peak 100%: 24.19 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 1.31 points
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of HVA?

Historically, when HVA was in the Bull Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 0% of the time and down to a lower zone 100% of the time (across 120 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%. The market is at 75.81%, 24.19 points from the upper bound and 1.31 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 2,645 candles from 2015-07-31 to 2026-10-16, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing HVA's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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