Research

HVA D — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

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Sample: 2,638 candles D from 2015-07-31 to 2026-08-28

HVABear Extreme D

Occurrences: 79 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 79 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

HVABear Critical D

Occurrences: 76 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 57 times 75%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 19 times 25%

HVABear Bias D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 129 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 76 times 58.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 53 times 41.1%

Current market energy at -49.7%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 28.82 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 10.3 points

HVANeutral D

Occurrences: 140 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 75 times 53.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 65 times 46.4%

HVABull Bias D

Occurrences: 174 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 85 times 48.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 89 times 51.1%

HVABull Critical D

Occurrences: 124 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 41 times 33.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 83 times 66.9%

HVABull Extreme D

Occurrences: 119 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 119 times 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of HVA?

Historically, when HVA was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 58.9% of the time and down to a lower zone 41.1% of the time (across 129 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -49.7%, 28.82 points from the upper bound and 10.3 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 2,638 candles from 2015-07-31 to 2026-08-28, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing HVA's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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