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Research

HPA 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
856 HPA 1H candles
Period
2026-02-06 – 2026-10-23 (0.7 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme42 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical42 times
↑35.7%
↓64.3%
Bull Bias63 times
↑39.7%
↓60.3%
Neutral52 times
↑50%
↓50%
Bear Bias48 times
↑52.1%
↓47.9%
Bear Critical37 times
↑45.9%
↓54.1%
Bear Extreme★★59 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bear Extreme→Sellers→

HPA — Bear Extreme — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 59 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 59 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

Current market energy at -96.34%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 21.84 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 3.66 points

HPA — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 37 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 17 times — 45.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 20 times — 54.1%

HPA — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 48 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 25 times — 52.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 23 times — 47.9%

HPA — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 52 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 26 times — 50%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 26 times — 50%

HPA — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 63 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 25 times — 39.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 38 times — 60.3%

HPA — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 42 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 15 times — 35.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 27 times — 64.3%

HPA — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 42 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 42 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of HPA?

Historically, when HPA was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 59 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -96.34%, 21.84 points from the upper bound and 3.66 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 856 candles from 2026-02-06 to 2026-10-23, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing HPA's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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