Research

HMS 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
2,609 HMS 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-22 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

HMS — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 208 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 208 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

HMS — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 100 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 45 times — 45%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 55 times — 55%

HMS — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 142 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 71 times — 50%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 71 times — 50%

HMS — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 107 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 47 times — 43.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 60 times — 56.1%

HMS — Bull Bias — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 147 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 79 times — 53.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 68 times — 46.3%

Current market energy at 36.21%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 23.79 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 15.33 points

HMS — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 104 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 43 times — 41.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 61 times — 58.7%

HMS — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 205 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 205 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of HMS?

Historically, when HMS was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 53.7% of the time and down to a lower zone 46.3% of the time (across 147 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 36.21%, 23.79 points from the upper bound and 15.33 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 2,609 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing HMS's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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HMS 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends | 2AiTrading