Research

HLC D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,546 HLC D candles
Period
2012-03-21 – 2026-10-22 (14.6 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

HLC — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 130 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 130 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

HLC — Bear Critical — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 71 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 43 times — 60.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 28 times — 39.4%

Current market energy at -62.32%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 2.32 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 12.18 points

HLC — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 135 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 86 times — 63.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 49 times — 36.3%

HLC — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 155 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 94 times — 60.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 61 times — 39.4%

HLC — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 241 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 134 times — 55.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 107 times — 44.4%

HLC — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 144 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 49 times — 34%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 95 times — 66%

HLC — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 197 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 197 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of HLC?

Historically, when HLC was in the Bear Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 60.6% of the time and down to a lower zone 39.4% of the time (across 71 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%. The market is at -62.32%, 2.32 points from the upper bound and 12.18 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,546 candles from 2012-03-21 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing HLC's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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