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Research

HDA 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
2,614 HDA 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-23 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme★★143 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical94 times
↑41.5%
↓58.5%
Bull Bias156 times
↑48.1%
↓51.9%
Neutral141 times
↑55.3%
↓44.7%
Bear Bias153 times
↑53.6%
↓46.4%
Bear Critical81 times
↑69.1%
↓30.9%
Bear Extreme124 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bull Extreme→Buyers→

HDA — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 124 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 124 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

HDA — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 81 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 56 times — 69.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 25 times — 30.9%

HDA — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 153 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 82 times — 53.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 71 times — 46.4%

HDA — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 141 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 78 times — 55.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 63 times — 44.7%

HDA — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 156 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 75 times — 48.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 81 times — 51.9%

HDA — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 94 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 39 times — 41.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 55 times — 58.5%

HDA — Bull Extreme — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 143 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 143 times — 100%

Current market energy at 78.84%
Distance to peak 100%: 21.16 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 4.34 points
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of HDA?

Historically, when HDA was in the Bull Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 0% of the time and down to a lower zone 100% of the time (across 143 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%. The market is at 78.84%, 21.16 points from the upper bound and 4.34 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 2,614 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-23, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing HDA's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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