2AI
2AITRADING
Behind the Price
Research

HCD 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,763 HCD 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-23 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme143 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical186 times
↑29.6%
↓70.4%
Bull Bias330 times
↑40.6%
↓59.4%
Neutral320 times
↑54.7%
↓45.3%
Bear Bias227 times
↑73.1%
↓26.9%
Bear Critical98 times
↑67.3%
↓32.7%
Bear Extreme★★84 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bear Extreme→Sellers→

HCD — Bear Extreme — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 84 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 84 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

Current market energy at -99.98%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 25.48 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 0.02 points

HCD — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 98 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 66 times — 67.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 32 times — 32.7%

HCD — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 227 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 166 times — 73.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 61 times — 26.9%

HCD — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 320 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 175 times — 54.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 145 times — 45.3%

HCD — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 330 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 134 times — 40.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 196 times — 59.4%

HCD — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 186 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 55 times — 29.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 131 times — 70.4%

HCD — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 143 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 143 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of HCD?

Historically, when HCD was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 84 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -99.98%, 25.48 points from the upper bound and 0.02 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,763 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-23, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing HCD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .