Research

FIR D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
1,999 FIR D candles
Period
2018-10-19 – 2026-10-22 (8.0 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

FIR — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 43 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 43 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

FIR — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 62 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 46 times — 74.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 16 times — 25.8%

FIR — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 119 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 81 times — 68.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 38 times — 31.9%

FIR — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 166 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 96 times — 57.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 70 times — 42.2%

FIR — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 172 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 75 times — 43.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 97 times — 56.4%

FIR — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 111 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 36 times — 32.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 75 times — 67.6%

FIR — Bull Extreme — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 93 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 93 times — 100%

Current market energy at 89.21%
Distance to peak 100%: 10.79 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 14.71 points
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of FIR?

Historically, when FIR was in the Bull Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 0% of the time and down to a lower zone 100% of the time (across 93 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%. The market is at 89.21%, 10.79 points from the upper bound and 14.71 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 1,999 candles from 2018-10-19 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing FIR's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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