Research

CTP 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,693 CTP 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-23 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

CTP — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 139 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 139 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

CTP — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 137 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 102 times — 74.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 35 times — 25.5%

CTP — Bear Bias — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 238 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 153 times — 64.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 85 times — 35.7%

Current market energy at -36.74%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 15.86 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 23.26 points

CTP — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 248 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 138 times — 55.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 110 times — 44.4%

CTP — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 281 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 137 times — 48.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 144 times — 51.2%

CTP — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 198 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 76 times — 38.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 122 times — 61.6%

CTP — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 206 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 206 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of CTP?

Historically, when CTP was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 64.3% of the time and down to a lower zone 35.7% of the time (across 238 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -36.74%, 15.86 points from the upper bound and 23.26 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,693 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-23, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing CTP's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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