Research

COM W: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
731 COM W candles
Period
2012-03-26 – 2026-10-16 (14.6 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
D1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

COM — Bear Extreme — W

Occurrences: 23 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 23 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

COM — Bear Critical — W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 15 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 14 times — 93.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1 times — 6.7%

Current market energy at -68.3%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 8.3 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 6.2 points

COM — Bear Bias — W

Occurrences: 47 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 34 times — 72.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 13 times — 27.7%

COM — Neutral — W

Occurrences: 65 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 35 times — 53.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 30 times — 46.2%

COM — Bull Bias — W

Occurrences: 76 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 33 times — 43.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 43 times — 56.6%

COM — Bull Critical — W

Occurrences: 46 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 15 times — 32.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 31 times — 67.4%

COM — Bull Extreme — W

Occurrences: 42 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 42 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of COM?

Historically, when COM was in the Bear Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 93.3% of the time and down to a lower zone 6.7% of the time (across 15 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%. The market is at -68.3%, 8.3 points from the upper bound and 6.2 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 731 candles from 2012-03-26 to 2026-10-16, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing COM's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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