Research

CMW D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
1,395 CMW D candles
Period
2017-04-11 – 2026-10-21 (9.5 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

CMW — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 33 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 33 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

CMW — Bear Critical — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 16 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 8 times — 50%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 8 times — 50%

Current market energy at -74.37%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 14.37 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 0.13 points

CMW — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 30 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 18 times — 60%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 12 times — 40%

CMW — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 24 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 15 times — 62.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 9 times — 37.5%

CMW — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 35 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 14 times — 40%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 21 times — 60%

CMW — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 24 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 11 times — 45.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 13 times — 54.2%

CMW — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 41 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 41 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of CMW?

Historically, when CMW was in the Bear Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 50% of the time and down to a lower zone 50% of the time (across 16 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%. The market is at -74.37%, 14.37 points from the upper bound and 0.13 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 1,395 candles from 2017-04-11 to 2026-10-21, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing CMW's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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