Research

CMD 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
1,947 CMD 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-09 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
ENERGY SHIFTS
▲ to a higher zone▼ to a lower zone★ current position

CMD — Bear Extreme — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 136 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 136 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

Current market energy at -80.62%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 6.12 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 19.38 points

CMD — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 71 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 35 times — 49.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 36 times — 50.7%

CMD — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 111 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 54 times — 48.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 57 times — 51.4%

CMD — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 89 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 46 times — 51.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 43 times — 48.3%

CMD — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 102 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 51 times — 50%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 51 times — 50%

CMD — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 60 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 25 times — 41.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 35 times — 58.3%

CMD — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 122 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 122 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of CMD?

Historically, when CMD was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 136 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -80.62%, 6.12 points from the upper bound and 19.38 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 1,947 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-09, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing CMD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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