Research

CMD D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
1,421 CMD D candles
Period
2019-07-08 – 2026-10-09 (7.3 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
ENERGY SHIFTS
▲ to a higher zone▼ to a lower zone★ current position

CMD — Bear Extreme — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 48 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 48 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

Current market energy at -88.61%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 14.11 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 11.39 points

CMD — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 46 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 33 times — 71.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 13 times — 28.3%

CMD — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 60 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 23 times — 38.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 37 times — 61.7%

CMD — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 45 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 27 times — 60%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 18 times — 40%

CMD — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 62 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 35 times — 56.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 27 times — 43.5%

CMD — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 54 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 21 times — 38.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 33 times — 61.1%

CMD — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 67 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 67 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of CMD?

Historically, when CMD was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 48 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -88.61%, 14.11 points from the upper bound and 11.39 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 1,421 candles from 2019-07-08 to 2026-10-09, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing CMD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .