Research

CAP D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,629 CAP D candles
Period
2012-03-21 – 2026-10-09 (14.6 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
ENERGY SHIFTS
▲ to a higher zone▼ to a lower zone★ current position

CAP — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 73 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 73 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

CAP — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 83 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 58 times — 69.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 25 times — 30.1%

CAP — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 139 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 94 times — 67.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 45 times — 32.4%

CAP — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 211 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 138 times — 65.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 73 times — 34.6%

CAP — Bull Bias — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 292 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 149 times — 51%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 143 times — 49%

Current market energy at 48.24%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 11.76 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 27.36 points

CAP — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 215 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 80 times — 37.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 135 times — 62.8%

CAP — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 185 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 185 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of CAP?

Historically, when CAP was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 51% of the time and down to a lower zone 49% of the time (across 292 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 48.24%, 11.76 points from the upper bound and 27.36 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,629 candles from 2012-03-21 to 2026-10-09, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing CAP's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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