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Research

BMS 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,807 BMS 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-22 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme198 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical218 times
↑35.8%
↓64.2%
Bull Bias329 times
↑39.5%
↓60.5%
Neutral★★278 times
↑59.7%
↓40.3%
Bear Bias222 times
↑67.1%
↓32.9%
Bear Critical130 times
↑76.9%
↓23.1%
Bear Extreme107 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Neutral→

BMS — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 107 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 107 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

BMS — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 130 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 100 times — 76.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 30 times — 23.1%

BMS — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 222 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 149 times — 67.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 73 times — 32.9%

BMS — Neutral — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 278 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 166 times — 59.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 112 times — 40.3%

Current market energy at -4.15%
Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 25.03 points
Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 16.73 points

BMS — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 329 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 130 times — 39.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 199 times — 60.5%

BMS — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 218 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 78 times — 35.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 140 times — 64.2%

BMS — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 198 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 198 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of BMS?

Historically, when BMS was in the Neutral zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 59.7% of the time and down to a lower zone 40.3% of the time (across 278 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%. The market is at -4.15%, 25.03 points from the upper bound and 16.73 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,807 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing BMS's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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