Research

API W: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
750 API W candles
Period
2012-03-26 – 2026-09-28 (14.5 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
ENERGY SHIFTS
▲ to a higher zone▼ to a lower zone★ current position

API — Bear Extreme — W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 22 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 22 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

Current market energy at -91.53%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 17.03 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 8.47 points

API — Bear Critical — W

Occurrences: 32 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 24 times — 75%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 8 times — 25%

API — Bear Bias — W

Occurrences: 48 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 26 times — 54.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 22 times — 45.8%

API — Neutral — W

Occurrences: 50 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 18 times — 36%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 32 times — 64%

API — Bull Bias — W

Occurrences: 48 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 22 times — 45.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 26 times — 54.2%

API — Bull Critical — W

Occurrences: 29 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 7 times — 24.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 22 times — 75.9%

API — Bull Extreme — W

Occurrences: 26 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 26 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of API?

Historically, when API was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 22 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -91.53%, 17.03 points from the upper bound and 8.47 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 750 candles from 2012-03-26 to 2026-09-28, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing API's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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