Research

API 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,935 API 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-09 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
ENERGY SHIFTS
▲ to a higher zone▼ to a lower zone★ current position

API — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 112 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 112 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

API — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 147 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 110 times — 74.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 37 times — 25.2%

API — Bear Bias — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 299 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 205 times — 68.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 94 times — 31.4%

Current market energy at -22.87%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 1.99 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 37.13 points

API — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 329 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 149 times — 45.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 180 times — 54.7%

API — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 289 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 96 times — 33.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 193 times — 66.8%

API — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 179 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 41 times — 22.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 138 times — 77.1%

API — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 126 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 126 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of API?

Historically, when API was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 68.6% of the time and down to a lower zone 31.4% of the time (across 299 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -22.87%, 1.99 points from the upper bound and 37.13 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,935 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-09, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing API's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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