Research

API D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,633 API D candles
Period
2012-03-21 – 2026-10-08 (14.5 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
ENERGY SHIFTS
▲ to a higher zone▼ to a lower zone★ current position

API — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 118 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 118 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

API — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 142 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 92 times — 64.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 50 times — 35.2%

API — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 235 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 145 times — 61.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 90 times — 38.3%

API — Neutral — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 242 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 120 times — 49.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 122 times — 50.4%

Current market energy at -14.73%
Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 35.61 points
Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 6.15 points

API — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 261 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 125 times — 47.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 136 times — 52.1%

API — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 175 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 60 times — 34.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 115 times — 65.7%

API — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 172 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 172 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of API?

Historically, when API was in the Neutral zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 49.6% of the time and down to a lower zone 50.4% of the time (across 242 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%. The market is at -14.73%, 35.61 points from the upper bound and 6.15 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,633 candles from 2012-03-21 to 2026-10-08, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing API's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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