Research

ALV 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,062 ALV 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-23 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

ALV — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 149 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 149 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

ALV — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 140 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 87 times — 62.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 53 times — 37.9%

ALV — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 176 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 103 times — 58.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 73 times — 41.5%

ALV — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 180 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 85 times — 47.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 95 times — 52.8%

ALV — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 164 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 64 times — 39%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 100 times — 61%

ALV — Bull Critical — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 102 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 32 times — 31.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 70 times — 68.6%

Current market energy at 63.62%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 10.88 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 3.62 points

ALV — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 119 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 119 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of ALV?

Historically, when ALV was in the Bull Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 31.4% of the time and down to a lower zone 68.6% of the time (across 102 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%. The market is at 63.62%, 10.88 points from the upper bound and 3.62 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,062 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-23, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing ALV's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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