Research

AGG 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,971 AGG 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-08 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
ENERGY SHIFTS
▲ to a higher zone▼ to a lower zone★ current position

AGG — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 144 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 144 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

AGG — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 178 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 119 times — 66.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 59 times — 33.1%

AGG — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 284 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 155 times — 54.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 129 times — 45.4%

AGG — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 300 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 154 times — 51.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 146 times — 48.7%

AGG — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 332 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 120 times — 36.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 212 times — 63.9%

AGG — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 208 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 47 times — 22.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 161 times — 77.4%

AGG — Bull Extreme — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 157 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 157 times — 100%

Current market energy at 93.4%
Distance to peak 100%: 6.6 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 18.9 points
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of AGG?

Historically, when AGG was in the Bull Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 0% of the time and down to a lower zone 100% of the time (across 157 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%. The market is at 93.4%, 6.6 points from the upper bound and 18.9 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,971 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-08, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing AGG's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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