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Research

ADP 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
2,399 ADP 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-23 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme★★122 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical73 times
↑39.7%
↓60.3%
Bull Bias106 times
↑43.4%
↓56.6%
Neutral108 times
↑43.5%
↓56.5%
Bear Bias133 times
↑54.1%
↓45.9%
Bear Critical104 times
↑58.7%
↓41.3%
Bear Extreme149 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bull Extreme→Buyers→

ADP — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 149 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 149 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

ADP — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 104 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 61 times — 58.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 43 times — 41.3%

ADP — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 133 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 72 times — 54.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 61 times — 45.9%

ADP — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 108 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 47 times — 43.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 61 times — 56.5%

ADP — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 106 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 46 times — 43.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 60 times — 56.6%

ADP — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 73 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 29 times — 39.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 44 times — 60.3%

ADP — Bull Extreme — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 122 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 122 times — 100%

Current market energy at 90.74%
Distance to peak 100%: 9.26 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 16.24 points
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of ADP?

Historically, when ADP was in the Bull Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 0% of the time and down to a lower zone 100% of the time (across 122 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%. The market is at 90.74%, 9.26 points from the upper bound and 16.24 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 2,399 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-23, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing ADP's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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