CaseStudy

This is an example of USDJPY – Daily – price candle at 2026-07-31.

USDJPY·Daily·Published: 08/05/2026
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Study how price reacts at energy thresholds/zones.

USDJPY price plunging steeply, when energy approaches the zone Bear Extreme then rebounds up. Afterwards, price small lower wick then slight recovery.

See how price moved after touching the energy zone/threshold in the chart below.

USDJPY · D1 · 2026-07-31 00:00 UTC
Price and energy around the pin candle. Yellow dashed line = pin candle position.
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Study the statistical characteristics of the energy zone.

Energy zones and thresholds are built from research across thousands of symbols, all timeframes, and many periods under different market states. On such a stable scale, the statistics carry real meaning.

RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Bear Extreme USDJPY Daily

Sample: 4,021 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-08-23
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 110 times

When USDJPY is in Bear Extreme:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 110 times100%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current USDJPY market energy: -95.82%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 21.32%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 4.18%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

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Key related concepts you should know.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this case study.

Bear Extreme

Bear Extreme is the lowest energy zone where Sellers control the market almost entirely. This is a rare state marking very strong selling pressure.

→ Read more
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Practice and research.

You already have your own trading method — Breakout, Moving Averages, Elliott Wave, SMC, ICT... Market State adds one more layer to your decisions:

  • At this price level, which side is in control of the market?
  • What is the current energy threshold, and what is the next one ahead?
  • How does price usually react when it hits a threshold, or enters the upcoming energy zone?

These perspectives help you time entries, assess the risk of entering or holding, and size your positions. Each symbol and timeframe reacts differently at energy levels — traders should research in depth.

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .

Case study is a historical analysis, not investment advice.