CaseStudy

This is an example of ETHUSD – 1H – price candle at 2026-07-21.

ETHUSD·1H·Published: 07/21/2026
1Part 1 / 4

Study how price reacts at energy thresholds/zones.

ETHUSD price in a bullish trend, when energy kept falling through the zone Bull Critical while price was still rising — a bearish divergence. Afterwards, price sells off sharply.

See how price moved after touching the energy zone/threshold in the chart below.

ETHUSD · H1 · 2026-07-21 08:00 UTC
Price and energy around the pin candle. Yellow dashed line = pin candle position.
2Part 2 / 4

Study the statistical characteristics of the energy zone.

Energy zones and thresholds are built from research across thousands of symbols, all timeframes, and many periods under different market states. On such a stable scale, the statistics carry real meaning.

RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Bull Bias ETHUSD 1H

Sample: 78,917 1H candles from 2017-08-17 to 2026-08-23
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 6,557 times

When ETHUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then ETHUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,416 times36.8%
  • then ETHUSD moved to lower Market State: 4,141 times63.2%

Current ETHUSD market energy: 56.08%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 3.92%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 35.2%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

3Part 3 / 4

Key related concepts you should know.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this case study.

Bull Bias

Bull Bias is the state where Buyers gradually control the majority of the market. Market confidence in an uptrend is reinforced.

→ Read more
4Part 4 / 4

Practice and research.

You already have your own trading method — Breakout, Moving Averages, Elliott Wave, SMC, ICT... Market State adds one more layer to your decisions:

  • At this price level, which side is in control of the market?
  • What is the current energy threshold, and what is the next one ahead?
  • How does price usually react when it hits a threshold, or enters the upcoming energy zone?

These perspectives help you time entries, assess the risk of entering or holding, and size your positions. Each symbol and timeframe reacts differently at energy levels — traders should research in depth.

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .

Case study is a historical analysis, not investment advice.