Analysis

XRPUSD 1.3422 ↓4.83%: Bears in the peak-force zone · D Oct 12, 2026

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Candle open
Price and energy
Open 1.4102 · High 1.4214 · Low 1.3378 · Close 1.3422 · Range (high − low) 0.0836
XRPUSD closed at 1.3422, down 0.0681 (-4.83%) from 1.4103.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -58.6% to Bear Extreme at -78.3%, down 19.7 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price1.39581.40241.41031.3422
Energy-67.5%-63.4%-58.6%-78.3%
Price change↑ 1.11%↑ 0.47%↑ 0.56%↓ 4.83%
Energy change↑ 8.3↑ 4.1↑ 4.8↓ 19.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 1.11%↑ 0.47%↑ 0.56%↓ 4.83%↑ 8.3↑ 4.1↑ 4.8↓ 19.7
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 4.83% — higher than 83% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 19.7 pts — higher than 82% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme XRPUSD Daily

Sample: 3,092 Daily candles from 2018-05-05 to 2026-10-21
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 30 times

▸When XRPUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then XRPUSD moved to higher Market State: 30 times — 100%
  • then XRPUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current XRPUSD market energy: -78.34%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 3.84%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 21.66%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

XRPUSD · D1 · 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XRPUSD chart →
Market Energy
-58.6%
Bear Bias
-78.3%
Bear Extreme
-66.7%
Bear Critical
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Once measurement on the Daily timeframe completes, XRPUSD recorded in Bear Extreme.

On the energy side, Market Energy dropped -19.7% from the previous candle, from -58.6% to -78.3%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XRPUSD Market Energy ranged from -78.3 to -58.6.

Frequently asked questions

What did XRPUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle closed at 07:00 on 12-10-2026, XRPUSD was at 1.3422, down 4.83% from the previous candle (1.4103). Market Energy was -78.3%, down 19.7 points from -58.6%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did XRPUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

XRPUSD closed at 1.3422, down 4.83% from the previous Daily candle (1.4103). This drop is larger than 83% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for XRPUSD, across 2,842 candles since 2019.

How did XRPUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 19.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -58.6% to -78.3%. This drop is larger than 82% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for XRPUSD.

Do XRPUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was XRPUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had XRPUSD at -58.6%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, XRPUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does XRPUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -78.3%, XRPUSD is 3.84 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 21.66 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 79.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 68.1%. Against this backdrop, XRPUSD (Bear Extreme, -78.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -97.1%. XRPUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XRPUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XRPUSD on the XRPUSD overview →

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