Analysis

·

Price and energy
XPTUSD from 1,853.84 to 1,850.4, down 0.19%
Market Energy Bear Bias -42.7% to Bear Extreme -77.3%, down 34.6 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.68%0.10%1.45%0.19%
Energy21.410.653.734.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.68% 0.10% 1.45% 0.19% 21.4 10.6 53.7 34.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.19% — higher than 15% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 34.6 pts — higher than 82% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme XPTUSD 4H

Sample: 187 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 10 times

When XPTUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then XPTUSD moved to higher Market State: 10 times100%
  • then XPTUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current XPTUSD market energy: -77.29%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 2.79%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 22.71%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

XPTUSD · H4 · 2026-08-25 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XPTUSD chart →
Market Energy
-42.7%
Bear Bias
-77.3%
Bear Extreme
-74.7%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

XPTUSD classified into the extreme Bear energy zone after the 4H candle completed.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy reading dropped -34.6%, moving from -42.7% to -77.3% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XPTUSD Market Energy ranged from -77.3 to +96.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XPTUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 25-08-2026 closed, XPTUSD was at 1,850.4, down 0.19% from the previous candle (1,853.84). Market Energy was -77.3%, down 34.6 points from -42.7%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did XPTUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

XPTUSD closed at 1,850.4, down 0.19% from the previous 4H candle (1,853.84). This drop is larger than 15% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XPTUSD, across 116 candles since 2019.

How did XPTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 34.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -42.7% to -77.3%. This drop is larger than 82% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XPTUSD.

Do XPTUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XPTUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XPTUSD at -42.7%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, XPTUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does XPTUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -77.3%, XPTUSD is 2.79 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 22.71 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 38.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 85.4%. Against this backdrop, XPTUSD (Bear Extreme, -77.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 62.1%. XPTUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPTUSD on the XPTUSD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .