Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
XPTUSD from 1,642.59 to 1,636.09, down 0.40%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 76.6% to Bull Critical 66.2%, down 10.3 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 2.22%▲ 0.37%▼ 1.04%▼ 0.40%
Energy▲ 60.1▲ 18.8▼ 13.7▼ 10.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 2.22%▲ 0.37%▼ 1.04%▼ 0.40%▲ 60.1▲ 18.8▼ 13.7▼ 10.3
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.40%: not enough data to rank
0%255075100%
Energy down 10.3 pts: not enough data to rank
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical XPTUSD 4H

Sample: 280 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-09
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 15 times

▸When XPTUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then XPTUSD moved to higher Market State: 4 times — 26.7%
  • then XPTUSD moved to lower Market State: 11 times — 73.3%

▸Current XPTUSD market energy: 66.25%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 8.25%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 6.25%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

XPTUSD · H4 · 2026-07-31 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XPTUSD chart →
Market Energy
76.6%
Bull Extreme
66.2%
Bull Critical
64.0%
Bull Critical
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, XPTUSD within the near-peak Bull energy zone.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Market Energy reading dropped -10.3%, moving from 76.6% to 66.2% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XPTUSD Market Energy ranged from -61 to +90.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XPTUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 31-07-2026 closed, XPTUSD was at 1,636.09, down 0.4% from the previous candle (1,642.59). Market Energy was 66.2%, down 10.3 points from 76.6%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did XPTUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

XPTUSD closed at 1,636.09, down 0.4% from the previous 4H candle (1,642.59).

How did XPTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 10.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 76.6% to 66.2%.

Do XPTUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XPTUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XPTUSD at 76.6%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, XPTUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does XPTUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 66.2%, XPTUSD is 8.25 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 6.25 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 91.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 67.9%. Against this backdrop, XPTUSD (Bull Critical, 66.2%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -43.4%. XPTUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPTUSD on the XPTUSD overview →

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