Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
XPTUSD from 1,751.97 to 1,747.94, down 0.23%
Market Energy Neutral -4.7% to Bear Critical -61.8%, down 57.1 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.13%▲ 0.01%▼ 0.33%▼ 0.23%
Energy▲ 3.1▼ 5.0▼ 37.4▼ 57.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.13%▲ 0.01%▼ 0.33%▼ 0.23%▲ 3.1▼ 5.0▼ 37.4▼ 57.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.23% — higher than 57% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 57.1 pts — higher than 93% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical XPTUSD 1H

Sample: 55,161 1H candles from 2017-05-01 to 2026-09-24
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 2,648 times

▸When XPTUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then XPTUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,891 times — 71.4%
  • then XPTUSD moved to lower Market State: 757 times — 28.6%

▸Current XPTUSD market energy: -61.81%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 1.81%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 12.69%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

XPTUSD · H1 · 2026-09-25 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-4.7%
Neutral
-61.8%
Bear Critical
Expected at
13:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

XPTUSD recorded in Bear Critical as the 1H candle ended.

At the 1H session close, Market Energy dropped -57.1% this candle, currently -61.8% (previous candle -4.7%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XPTUSD Market Energy ranged from -99.7 to +90.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XPTUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 11:00 on 25-09-2026 closed, XPTUSD was at 1,747.94, down 0.23% from the previous candle (1,751.97). Market Energy was -61.8%, down 57.1 points from -4.7%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did XPTUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XPTUSD closed at 1,747.94, down 0.23% from the previous 1H candle (1,751.97). This drop is larger than 57% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XPTUSD, across 45,437 candles since 2019.

How did XPTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 57.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -4.7% to -61.8%. This drop is larger than 93% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XPTUSD.

Do XPTUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was XPTUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XPTUSD at -4.7%, Neutral — when this candle closed, XPTUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Critical.

Where does XPTUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -61.8%, XPTUSD is 1.81 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 12.69 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 40.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 40.8%. Against this backdrop, XPTUSD (Bear Critical, -61.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 17.4%. XPTUSD energy is currently below DXY by 79.2 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPTUSD on the XPTUSD overview →

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