Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
XPTUSD from 1,696.94 to 1,706.59, up 0.57%
Market Energy Bear Bias -38.3% to Bear Bias -40.3%, down 2.0 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.33%▲ 1.13%▼ 1.87%▲ 0.57%
Energy▲ 8.1▲ 26.0▼ 9.6▼ 2.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.33%▲ 1.13%▼ 1.87%▲ 0.57%▲ 8.1▲ 26.0▼ 9.6▼ 2.0
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.57% — higher than 36% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 2.0 pts — higher than 11% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias XPTUSD Daily

Sample: 3,377 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-02
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 298 times

▸When XPTUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then XPTUSD moved to higher Market State: 189 times — 63.4%
  • then XPTUSD moved to lower Market State: 109 times — 36.6%

▸Current XPTUSD market energy: -40.34%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 19.46%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 19.66%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

XPTUSD · D1 · 2026-10-04 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XPTUSD chart →
Market Energy
-38.3%
Bear Bias
-40.3%
Bear Bias
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the Daily candle closes, XPTUSD recorded in the energy state tilted toward Bear.

The energy side shows Market Energy moved from -38.3% to -40.3%, down -2% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 4 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XPTUSD Market Energy ranged from -62.9 to -28.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XPTUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 04-10-2026 closed, XPTUSD was at 1,706.59, up 0.57% from the previous candle (1,696.94). Market Energy was -40.3%, down 2.0 points from -38.3%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did XPTUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

XPTUSD closed at 1,706.59, up 0.57% from the previous Daily candle (1,696.94). This rise is larger than 36% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for XPTUSD, across 2,407 candles since 2019.

How did XPTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -38.3% to -40.3%. This drop is larger than 11% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for XPTUSD.

Do XPTUSD price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price rise with energy moving the other way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XPTUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had XPTUSD at -38.3%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XPTUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -40.3%, XPTUSD is 19.46 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 19.66 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 34.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 61.7%. Against this backdrop, XPTUSD (Bear Bias, -40.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -42.6%. XPTUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPTUSD on the XPTUSD overview →

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