Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
XPTUSD from 1,766.7 to 1,719.11, down 2.69%
Market Energy Bear Bias -32.8% to Bear Critical -63.4%, down 30.6 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.03%▲ 1.45%▼ 0.72%▼ 2.69%
Energy▼ 34.9▲ 19.5▲ 0.8▼ 30.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.03%▲ 1.45%▼ 0.72%▼ 2.69%▼ 34.9▲ 19.5▲ 0.8▼ 30.6
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.69% — higher than 89% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 30.6 pts — higher than 79% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical XPTUSD Daily

Sample: 3,372 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-09-27
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 167 times

▸When XPTUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then XPTUSD moved to higher Market State: 101 times — 60.5%
  • then XPTUSD moved to lower Market State: 66 times — 39.5%

▸Current XPTUSD market energy: -63.37%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 3.37%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 11.13%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

XPTUSD · D1 · 2026-09-28 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-32.8%
Bear Bias
-63.4%
Bear Critical
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Reading from the Daily candle, XPTUSD currently in the near-peak Bear energy zone.

Market energy measurement Energy delta -30.6%: Market Energy at -63.4%, previously -32.8%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XPTUSD Market Energy ranged from -63.4 to -18.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XPTUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 28-09-2026 closed, XPTUSD was at 1,719.11, down 2.69% from the previous candle (1,766.7). Market Energy was -63.4%, down 30.6 points from -32.8%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did XPTUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

XPTUSD closed at 1,719.11, down 2.69% from the previous Daily candle (1,766.7). This drop is larger than 89% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for XPTUSD, across 2,402 candles since 2019.

How did XPTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 30.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -32.8% to -63.4%. This drop is larger than 79% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for XPTUSD.

Do XPTUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XPTUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had XPTUSD at -32.8%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, XPTUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does XPTUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -63.4%, XPTUSD is 3.37 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 11.13 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -46.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -36.3%. Against this backdrop, XPTUSD (Bear Critical, -63.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 47.9%. XPTUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPTUSD on the XPTUSD overview →

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