Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
XPDUSD from 1,177.8 to 1,177.5, down 0.03%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -76.2% to Bear Critical -69.2%, up 7.0 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 1.57%▼ 1.24%▲ 0.40%▼ 0.03%
Energy▼ 3.8▼ 1.6▼ 0.4▲ 7.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 1.57%▼ 1.24%▲ 0.40%▼ 0.03%▼ 3.8▼ 1.6▼ 0.4▲ 7.0
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.03% — higher than 2% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 7.0 pts — higher than 35% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical XPDUSD Daily

Sample: 3,270 Daily candles from 2013-02-27 to 2026-10-04
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 142 times

▸When XPDUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then XPDUSD moved to higher Market State: 89 times — 62.7%
  • then XPDUSD moved to lower Market State: 53 times — 37.3%

▸Current XPDUSD market energy: -69.16%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 9.16%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 5.34%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

XPDUSD · D1 · 2026-10-05 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XPDUSD chart →
Market Energy
-76.2%
Bear Extreme
-69.2%
Bear Critical
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the Daily candle completes, XPDUSD noted at the Bear Critical level.

Market energy movement Market Energy rose +7% from the previous session, from -76.2% to -69.2%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XPDUSD Market Energy ranged from -76.2 to -69.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XPDUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 05-10-2026 closed, XPDUSD was at 1,177.5, down 0.03% from the previous candle (1,177.8). Market Energy was -69.2%, up 7.0 points from -76.2%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did XPDUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

XPDUSD closed at 1,177.5, down 0.03% from the previous Daily candle (1,177.8). This drop is larger than 2% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for XPDUSD, across 2,406 candles since 2019.

How did XPDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -76.2% to -69.2%. This rise is larger than 35% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for XPDUSD.

Do XPDUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XPDUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had XPDUSD at -76.2%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, XPDUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does XPDUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -69.2%, XPDUSD is 9.16 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 5.34 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 49.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 43%. Against this backdrop, XPDUSD (Bear Critical, -69.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -14.7%. XPDUSD energy is currently below DXY by 54.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPDUSD on the XPDUSD overview →

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