Analysis

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Price and energy
WHEAT from 783.66 to 773.8, down 1.26%
Market Energy Neutral 19.0% to Neutral 1.9%, down 17.1 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.37%1.26%0.95%1.26%
Energy35.822.538.417.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.37% 1.26% 0.95% 1.26% 35.8 22.5 38.4 17.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.26% — higher than 81% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 17.1 pts — higher than 65% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral WHEAT 4H

Sample: 133 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-09
Number of Neutral occurrences: 10 times

When WHEAT is in Neutral:

  • then WHEAT moved to higher Market State: 4 times40%
  • then WHEAT moved to lower Market State: 6 times60%

Current WHEAT market energy: 1.93%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 18.95%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 22.81%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

WHEAT · H4 · 2026-09-03 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
19.0%
Neutral
1.9%
Neutral
-76.3%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, WHEAT currently in balanced trend energy.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy reading dropped -17.1%, moving from 19% to 1.9% after the 4H candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, WHEAT Market Energy ranged from -41.9 to +78.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did WHEAT price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 03-09-2026 closed, WHEAT was at 773.8, down 1.26% from the previous candle (783.66). Market Energy was 1.9%, down 17.1 points from 19%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did WHEAT price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

WHEAT closed at 773.8, down 1.26% from the previous 4H candle (783.66). This drop is larger than 81% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for WHEAT, across 119 candles since 2019.

How did WHEAT Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 17.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 19% to 1.9%. This drop is larger than 65% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for WHEAT.

Do WHEAT price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was WHEAT in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had WHEAT at 19%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does WHEAT energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 1.9%, WHEAT is 18.95 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 22.81 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -40.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -10.3%. Against this backdrop, WHEAT (Neutral, 1.9%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -52.5%. WHEAT energy is currently above DXY by 54.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for WHEAT.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for WHEAT on the WHEAT overview →

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