Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
WHEAT from 696.31 to 694.68, down 0.23%
Market Energy Neutral -4.2% to Bear Bias -30.0%, down 25.8 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.07%▲ 0.07%▲ 0.05%▼ 0.23%
Energy▲ 25.8▲ 47.4▲ 18.2▼ 25.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.07%▲ 0.07%▲ 0.05%▼ 0.23%▲ 25.8▲ 47.4▲ 18.2▼ 25.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.23% — higher than 58% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 25.8 pts — higher than 77% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias WHEAT 1H

Sample: 14,953 1H candles from 2023-07-26 to 2026-09-25
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,163 times

▸When WHEAT is in Bear Bias:

  • then WHEAT moved to higher Market State: 649 times — 55.8%
  • then WHEAT moved to lower Market State: 514 times — 44.2%

▸Current WHEAT market energy: -29.95%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 9.07%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 30.05%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

WHEAT · H1 · 2026-09-25 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live WHEAT chart →
Market Energy
-4.2%
Neutral
-30.0%
Bear Bias
Expected at
18:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 1H candle completes, WHEAT within energy leaning Bear.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy moved from -4.2% to -30%, down -25.8% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, WHEAT Market Energy ranged from -99.8 to +100.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did WHEAT price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 16:00 on 25-09-2026 closed, WHEAT was at 694.68, down 0.23% from the previous candle (696.31). Market Energy was -30%, down 25.8 points from -4.2%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did WHEAT price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

WHEAT closed at 694.68, down 0.23% from the previous 1H candle (696.31). This drop is larger than 58% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for WHEAT, across 14,958 candles since 2019.

How did WHEAT Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 25.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -4.2% to -30%. This drop is larger than 77% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for WHEAT.

Do WHEAT price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was WHEAT in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had WHEAT at -4.2%, Neutral — when this candle closed, WHEAT moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does WHEAT energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -30%, WHEAT is 9.07 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 30.05 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 85.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 47.5%. Against this backdrop, WHEAT (Bear Bias, -30%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -76.4%. WHEAT (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for WHEAT.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for WHEAT on the WHEAT overview →

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