Analysis

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Price and energy
WHEAT from 720.6 to 719.98, down 0.09%
Market Energy Bear Bias -46.6% to Bear Critical -68.7%, down 22.1 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.26%0.60%0.89%0.09%
Energy10.723.131.622.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.26% 0.60% 0.89% 0.09% 10.7 23.1 31.6 22.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.09% — higher than 24% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 22.1 pts — higher than 74% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical WHEAT 1H

Sample: 14,797 1H candles from 2023-07-26 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 779 times

When WHEAT is in Bear Critical:

  • then WHEAT moved to higher Market State: 492 times63.2%
  • then WHEAT moved to lower Market State: 287 times36.8%

Current WHEAT market energy: -68.72%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 8.72%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 5.78%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

WHEAT · H1 · 2026-09-15 10:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-46.6%
Bear Bias
-68.7%
Bear Critical
Expected at
19:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 1H candle, WHEAT within the Bear Critical level.

Looking at the energy level, Energy delta -22.1%: Market Energy at -68.7%, previously -46.6%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, WHEAT Market Energy ranged from -98.8 to +75.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did WHEAT price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 17:00 on 15-09-2026 closed, WHEAT was at 719.98, down 0.09% from the previous candle (720.6). Market Energy was -68.7%, down 22.1 points from -46.6%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did WHEAT price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

WHEAT closed at 719.98, down 0.09% from the previous 1H candle (720.6). This drop is larger than 24% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for WHEAT, across 14,807 candles since 2019.

How did WHEAT Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 22.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -46.6% to -68.7%. This drop is larger than 74% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for WHEAT.

Do WHEAT price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was WHEAT in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had WHEAT at -46.6%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, WHEAT moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does WHEAT energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -68.7%, WHEAT is 8.72 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 5.78 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 39.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 41.8%. Against this backdrop, WHEAT (Bear Critical, -68.7%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 22.3%. WHEAT (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for WHEAT.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for WHEAT on the WHEAT overview →

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