Analysis

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Price and energy
WHEAT from 742.04 to 737.92, down 0.56%
Market Energy Bear Critical -64.0% to Bear Extreme -89.1%, down 25.0 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.79%0.30%0.80%0.56%
Energy31.936.020.725.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.79% 0.30% 0.80% 0.56% 31.9 36.0 20.7 25.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.56% — higher than 88% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 25.0 pts — higher than 77% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme WHEAT 1H

Sample: 14,873 1H candles from 2023-07-26 to 2026-09-18
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 661 times

When WHEAT is in Bear Extreme:

  • then WHEAT moved to higher Market State: 661 times100%
  • then WHEAT moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current WHEAT market energy: -89.05%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 14.55%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 10.95%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

WHEAT · H1 · 2026-09-04 15:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-64.0%
Bear Critical
-89.1%
Bear Extreme
-80.1%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the 1H candle closes, Market WHEAT in the Bear Extreme reading.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Market Energy dropped -25% this candle, currently -89.1% (previous candle -64%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, WHEAT Market Energy ranged from -100 to +99.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did WHEAT price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 22:00 on 04-09-2026 closed, WHEAT was at 737.92, down 0.56% from the previous candle (742.04). Market Energy was -89.1%, down 25.0 points from -64%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did WHEAT price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

WHEAT closed at 737.92, down 0.56% from the previous 1H candle (742.04). This drop is larger than 88% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for WHEAT, across 14,698 candles since 2019.

How did WHEAT Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 25 percentage points from the previous candle — from -64% to -89.1%. This drop is larger than 77% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for WHEAT.

Do WHEAT price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was WHEAT in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had WHEAT at -64%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, WHEAT moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does WHEAT energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -89.1%, WHEAT is 14.55 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 10.95 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -88.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 2.3%. Against this backdrop, WHEAT (Bear Extreme, -89.1%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 11.7%. WHEAT energy is currently below DXY by 100.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for WHEAT.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for WHEAT on the WHEAT overview →

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