Analysis

WHEAT 667.76 ↓1.35%: Bears have the edge · D Oct 16, 2026

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Candle open
Price and energy
Open 676.9 · High 677.77 · Low 663.9 · Close 667.76 · Range (high − low) 13.87
WHEAT closed at 667.76, down 9.135 (-1.35%) from 676.895.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -34.7% to Bear Bias at -56.0%, down 21.4 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price675.21680.47676.895667.76
Energy-46.6%-37.3%-34.7%-56.0%
Price change↓ 0.60%↑ 0.78%↓ 0.53%↓ 1.35%
Energy change↑ 2.5↑ 9.3↑ 2.7↓ 21.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.60%↑ 0.78%↓ 0.53%↓ 1.35%↑ 2.5↑ 9.3↑ 2.7↓ 21.4
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.35% — higher than 57% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 21.4 pts — higher than 63% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias WHEAT Daily

Sample: 3,436 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-21
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 367 times

▸When WHEAT is in Bear Bias:

  • then WHEAT moved to higher Market State: 203 times — 55.3%
  • then WHEAT moved to lower Market State: 164 times — 44.7%

▸Current WHEAT market energy: -56.04%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 35.16%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 3.96%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

WHEAT · D1 · 2026-10-16 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live WHEAT chart →
Market Energy
-34.7%
Bear Bias
-56.0%
Bear Bias
-67.3%
Bear Critical
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed Daily candle data, WHEAT within the Market Energy zone leaning Bear.

Market energy movement Market Energy dropped -21.4% this candle, currently -56% (previous candle -34.7%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 7 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, WHEAT Market Energy ranged from -56 to -34.7.

Frequently asked questions

What did WHEAT price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle closed at 07:00 on 16-10-2026, WHEAT was at 667.76, down 1.35% from the previous candle (676.895). Market Energy was -56%, down 21.4 points from -34.7%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did WHEAT price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

WHEAT closed at 667.76, down 1.35% from the previous Daily candle (676.895). This drop is larger than 57% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for WHEAT, across 1,933 candles since 2019.

How did WHEAT Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 21.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -34.7% to -56%. This drop is larger than 63% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for WHEAT.

Do WHEAT price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was WHEAT in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had WHEAT at -34.7%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does WHEAT energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -56%, WHEAT is 35.16 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 3.96 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 33.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 64.4%. Against this backdrop, WHEAT (Bear Bias, -56%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -43.6%. WHEAT (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for WHEAT.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for WHEAT on the WHEAT overview →

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