Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
USOIL from 89.446 to 88.126, down 1.48%
Market Energy Bull Bias 36.2% to Bear Bias -34.8%, down 71.0 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.16%▼ 0.50%▲ 0.57%▼ 1.48%
Energy▲ 4.0▼ 20.5▼ 0.6▼ 71.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.16%▼ 0.50%▲ 0.57%▼ 1.48%▲ 4.0▼ 20.5▼ 0.6▼ 71.0
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.48% — higher than 87% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 71.0 pts — higher than 94% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias USOIL 4H

Sample: 21,152 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-06
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,571 times

▸When USOIL is in Bear Bias:

  • then USOIL moved to higher Market State: 955 times — 60.8%
  • then USOIL moved to lower Market State: 616 times — 39.2%

▸Current USOIL market energy: -34.8%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 13.92%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 25.2%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

USOIL · H4 · 2026-10-07 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
36.2%
Bull Bias
-34.8%
Bear Bias
Expected at
04:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, USOIL within the Market Energy zone leaning Bear.

The energy side shows A -71% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -34.8% (previous: 36.2%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USOIL Market Energy ranged from -92.4 to +57.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USOIL price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 07-10-2026 closed, USOIL was at 88.126, down 1.48% from the previous candle (89.446). Market Energy was -34.8%, down 71.0 points from 36.2%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did USOIL price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USOIL closed at 88.126, down 1.48% from the previous 4H candle (89.446). This drop is larger than 87% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USOIL, across 11,930 candles since 2019.

How did USOIL Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 71 percentage points from the previous candle — from 36.2% to -34.8%. This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USOIL.

Do USOIL price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USOIL in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USOIL at 36.2%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, USOIL moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Bias.

Where does USOIL energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -34.8%, USOIL is 13.92 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 25.2 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -80.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -72.2%. Against this backdrop, USOIL (Bear Bias, -34.8%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 58.7%. USOIL (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USOIL.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USOIL on the USOIL overview →

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