Analysis

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Price and energy
USOIL from 96.905 to 99.163, up 2.33%
Market Energy Bear Bias -21.3% to Bull Bias 33.5%, up 54.9 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.48%0.81%0.18%2.33%
Energy47.216.67.054.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.48% 0.81% 0.18% 2.33% 47.2 16.6 7.0 54.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 2.33% — higher than 96% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 54.9 pts — higher than 92% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias USOIL 4H

Sample: 21,067 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,690 times

When USOIL is in Bull Bias:

  • then USOIL moved to higher Market State: 765 times45.3%
  • then USOIL moved to lower Market State: 925 times54.7%

Current USOIL market energy: 33.54%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 26.46%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 12.66%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

USOIL · H4 · 2026-09-14 01:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-21.3%
Bear Bias
33.5%
Bull Bias
Expected at
16:10
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, USOIL noted at the Bull Bias level.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Market Energy rose +54.9% from the previous candle, from -21.3% to 33.5%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USOIL Market Energy ranged from -45 to +92.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USOIL price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 14-09-2026 closed, USOIL was at 99.163, up 2.33% from the previous candle (96.905). Market Energy was 33.5%, up 54.9 points from -21.3%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did USOIL price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USOIL closed at 99.163, up 2.33% from the previous 4H candle (96.905). This rise is larger than 96% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USOIL, across 11,842 candles since 2019.

How did USOIL Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 54.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -21.3% to 33.5%. This rise is larger than 92% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USOIL.

Do USOIL price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USOIL in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USOIL at -21.3%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, USOIL moved up to a higher zone: Bear Bias → Bull Bias.

Where does USOIL energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 33.5%, USOIL is 26.46 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 12.66 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -6.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 80.3%. Against this backdrop, USOIL (Bull Bias, 33.5%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 8.7%. USOIL energy is currently above DXY by 24.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USOIL.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USOIL on the USOIL overview →

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