Analysis

·

Price and energy
USOIL from 93.581 to 94.661, up 1.15%
Market Energy Bull Critical 72.7% to Bull Critical 71.7%, down 1.0 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.76%1.28%0.35%1.15%
Energy2.437.015.51.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.76% 1.28% 0.35% 1.15% 2.4 37.0 15.5 1.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 1.15% — higher than 82% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 1.0 pts — higher than 6% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical USOIL 4H

Sample: 21,055 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 1,145 times

When USOIL is in Bull Critical:

  • then USOIL moved to higher Market State: 439 times38.3%
  • then USOIL moved to lower Market State: 706 times61.7%

Current USOIL market energy: 71.72%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 2.78%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 11.72%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

USOIL · H4 · 2026-09-09 17:00 UTC
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Market Energy
72.7%
Bull Critical
71.7%
Bull Critical
Expected at
08:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the system processes the 4H candle, USOIL in the near-peak Bull energy level.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Market Energy dropped -1% from the previous candle, from 72.7% to 71.7%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USOIL Market Energy ranged from -10.6 to +90.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USOIL price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 10-09-2026 closed, USOIL was at 94.661, up 1.15% from the previous candle (93.581). Market Energy was 71.7%, down 1.0 points from 72.7%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did USOIL price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USOIL closed at 94.661, up 1.15% from the previous 4H candle (93.581). This rise is larger than 82% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USOIL, across 11,831 candles since 2019.

How did USOIL Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 72.7% to 71.7%. This drop is larger than 6% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USOIL.

Do USOIL price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price rise with energy moving the other way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USOIL in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USOIL at 72.7%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USOIL energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 71.7%, USOIL is 2.78 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 11.72 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -30.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -70.7%. Against this backdrop, USOIL (Bull Critical, 71.7%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 40.9%. USOIL (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USOIL.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USOIL on the USOIL overview →

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