Analysis

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Price and energy
USOIL from 89.822 to 88.917, down 1.01%
Market Energy Bull Bias 46.1% to Neutral 6.3%, down 39.8 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.82%0.01%0.48%1.01%
Energy16.55.57.839.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.82% 0.01% 0.48% 1.01% 16.5 5.5 7.8 39.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.01% — higher than 78% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 39.8 pts — higher than 86% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral USOIL 4H

Sample: 21,043 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-04
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,582 times

When USOIL is in Neutral:

  • then USOIL moved to higher Market State: 821 times51.9%
  • then USOIL moved to lower Market State: 761 times48.1%

Current USOIL market energy: 6.28%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 14.6%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 27.16%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

USOIL · H4 · 2026-09-04 05:00 UTC
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Market Energy
46.1%
Bull Bias
6.3%
Neutral
-55.0%
Bear Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, USOIL classified as the Neutral energy state.

Market energy measurement Market trend energy recorded a -39.8% drop from the previous candle, from 46.1% to 6.3%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USOIL Market Energy ranged from +6.3 to +98.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USOIL price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 04-09-2026 closed, USOIL was at 88.917, down 1.01% from the previous candle (89.822). Market Energy was 6.3%, down 39.8 points from 46.1%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did USOIL price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USOIL closed at 88.917, down 1.01% from the previous 4H candle (89.822). This drop is larger than 78% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USOIL, across 11,814 candles since 2019.

How did USOIL Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 39.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 46.1% to 6.3%. This drop is larger than 86% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USOIL.

Do USOIL price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USOIL in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USOIL at 46.1%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, USOIL moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does USOIL energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 6.3%, USOIL is 14.6 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 27.16 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 81.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 76.4%. Against this backdrop, USOIL (Neutral, 6.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -26.3%. USOIL energy is currently above DXY by 32.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USOIL.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USOIL on the USOIL overview →

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