Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
USOIL from 83.244 to 84.372, up 1.36%
Market Energy Bull Bias 27.3% to Bull Critical 72.0%, up 44.7 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.76%▼ 0.45%▲ 1.48%▲ 1.36%
Energy▼ 5.2▲ 5.6▲ 36.1▲ 44.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.76%▼ 0.45%▲ 1.48%▲ 1.36%▼ 5.2▲ 5.6▲ 36.1▲ 44.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 1.36% — higher than 87% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 44.7 pts — higher than 89% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical USOIL 4H

Sample: 21,162 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 1,149 times

▸When USOIL is in Bull Critical:

  • then USOIL moved to higher Market State: 442 times — 38.5%
  • then USOIL moved to lower Market State: 707 times — 61.5%

▸Current USOIL market energy: 72%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 2.5%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 12%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

USOIL · H4 · 2026-07-21 10:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
27.3%
Bull Bias
72.0%
Bull Critical
71.5%
Bull Critical
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Once measurement on the 4H timeframe completes, Market USOIL in Bull Critical.

Market energy measurement Energy delta +44.7%: Market Energy at 72%, previously 27.3%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USOIL Market Energy ranged from -55.8 to +100.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USOIL price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 17:00 on 21-07-2026 closed, USOIL was at 84.372, up 1.36% from the previous candle (83.244). Market Energy was 72%, up 44.7 points from 27.3%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did USOIL price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USOIL closed at 84.372, up 1.36% from the previous 4H candle (83.244). This rise is larger than 87% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USOIL, across 11,647 candles since 2019.

How did USOIL Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 44.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 27.3% to 72%. This rise is larger than 89% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USOIL.

Do USOIL price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USOIL in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USOIL at 27.3%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, USOIL moved up to a higher zone: Bull Bias → Bull Critical.

Where does USOIL energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 72%, USOIL is 2.5 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 12 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 42.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 73.4%. Against this backdrop, USOIL (Bull Critical, 72%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 38.3%. USOIL (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USOIL.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USOIL on the USOIL overview →

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