Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
USOIL from 82.403 to 82.032, down 0.45%
Market Energy Neutral -14.4% to Neutral -8.8%, up 5.6 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.67%▲ 0.13%▼ 0.76%▼ 0.45%
Energy▲ 29.5▲ 7.9▼ 5.2▲ 5.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.67%▲ 0.13%▼ 0.76%▼ 0.45%▲ 29.5▲ 7.9▼ 5.2▲ 5.6
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.45% — higher than 51% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 5.6 pts — higher than 33% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral USOIL 4H

Sample: 21,152 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-06
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,597 times

▸When USOIL is in Neutral:

  • then USOIL moved to higher Market State: 828 times — 51.8%
  • then USOIL moved to lower Market State: 769 times — 48.2%

▸Current USOIL market energy: -8.84%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 29.72%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 12.04%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

USOIL · H4 · 2026-07-21 02:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USOIL chart →
Market Energy
-14.4%
Neutral
-8.8%
Neutral
27.3%
Bull Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, USOIL currently in Neutral.

Looking at the energy level, Market trend energy recorded a +5.6% rise from the previous candle, from -14.4% to -8.8%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 4 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USOIL Market Energy ranged from -55.8 to +100.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USOIL price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 09:00 on 21-07-2026 closed, USOIL was at 82.032, down 0.45% from the previous candle (82.403). Market Energy was -8.8%, up 5.6 points from -14.4%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did USOIL price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USOIL closed at 82.032, down 0.45% from the previous 4H candle (82.403). This drop is larger than 51% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USOIL, across 11,645 candles since 2019.

How did USOIL Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 5.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -14.4% to -8.8%. This rise is larger than 33% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USOIL.

Do USOIL price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USOIL in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USOIL at -14.4%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USOIL energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -8.8%, USOIL is 29.72 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 12.04 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 52%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -65.6%. Against this backdrop, USOIL (Neutral, -8.8%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 59.6%. USOIL energy is currently below DXY by 68.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USOIL.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USOIL on the USOIL overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .