Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
USOIL from 79.389 to 79.538, up 0.19%
Market Energy Neutral 2.4% to Neutral 0.6%, down 1.8 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 1.61%▼ 0.24%▼ 0.82%▲ 0.19%
Energy▲ 16.4▲ 3.2▼ 10.5▼ 1.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 1.61%▼ 0.24%▼ 0.82%▲ 0.19%▲ 16.4▲ 3.2▼ 10.5▼ 1.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.19% — higher than 24% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 1.8 pts — higher than 12% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral USOIL 4H

Sample: 21,152 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-06
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,597 times

▸When USOIL is in Neutral:

  • then USOIL moved to higher Market State: 828 times — 51.8%
  • then USOIL moved to lower Market State: 769 times — 48.2%

▸Current USOIL market energy: 0.59%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 20.29%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 21.47%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

USOIL · H4 · 2026-07-16 06:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
2.4%
Neutral
0.6%
Neutral
15.4%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, USOIL recorded in the balanced Bull/Bear state.

Meanwhile, Market Energy at 0.6%, down -1.8% from 2.4% in the previous candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 5 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USOIL Market Energy ranged from -6.9 to +100.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USOIL price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 13:00 on 16-07-2026 closed, USOIL was at 79.538, up 0.19% from the previous candle (79.389). Market Energy was 0.6%, down 1.8 points from 2.4%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did USOIL price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USOIL closed at 79.538, up 0.19% from the previous 4H candle (79.389). This rise is larger than 24% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USOIL, across 11,628 candles since 2019.

How did USOIL Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 1.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 2.4% to 0.6%. This drop is larger than 12% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USOIL.

Do USOIL price and energy agree?

No. Price moved up while energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USOIL in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USOIL at 2.4%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USOIL energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 0.6%, USOIL is 20.29 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 21.47 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -15.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 6.4%. Against this backdrop, USOIL (Neutral, 0.6%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -66.2%. USOIL energy is currently above DXY by 66.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USOIL.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USOIL on the USOIL overview →

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