Analysis

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Price and energy
USOIL from 100.427 to 100.032, down 0.39%
Market Energy Neutral 17.6% to Bear Bias -38.7%, down 56.3 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.03%0.08%0.23%0.39%
Energy5.64.214.856.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.03% 0.08% 0.23% 0.39% 5.6 4.2 14.8 56.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.39% — higher than 71% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 56.3 pts — higher than 93% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias USOIL 1H

Sample: 69,210 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-09-15
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 4,742 times

When USOIL is in Bear Bias:

  • then USOIL moved to higher Market State: 2,892 times61%
  • then USOIL moved to lower Market State: 1,850 times39%

Current USOIL market energy: -38.72%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 17.84%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 21.28%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

USOIL · H1 · 2026-09-16 02:00 UTC
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Market Energy
17.6%
Neutral
-38.7%
Bear Bias
Expected at
11:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 1H candle data, USOIL within the Bear trend energy zone.

Looking at the energy level, The energy level dropped -56.3%: from 17.6% now at -38.7%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USOIL Market Energy ranged from -96.7 to +99.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USOIL price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 09:00 on 16-09-2026 closed, USOIL was at 100.032, down 0.39% from the previous candle (100.427). Market Energy was -38.7%, down 56.3 points from 17.6%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did USOIL price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USOIL closed at 100.032, down 0.39% from the previous 1H candle (100.427). This drop is larger than 71% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USOIL, across 45,612 candles since 2019.

How did USOIL Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 56.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 17.6% to -38.7%. This drop is larger than 93% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USOIL.

Do USOIL price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USOIL in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USOIL at 17.6%, Neutral — when this candle closed, USOIL moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does USOIL energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -38.7%, USOIL is 17.84 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 21.28 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -19%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 1.5%. Against this backdrop, USOIL (Bear Bias, -38.7%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 4.3%. USOIL energy is currently below DXY by 43 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USOIL.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USOIL on the USOIL overview →

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